Friday, February 13, 2009
Sunlight Deprived People - REJOICE!!
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
A little Op Ed rabble-rousing
Canaries in the coal mine
Back in December 2008 this question was posed to James Poterba, Chair of MIT Dept. of Economics, and president and CEO of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a private group of leading economists that dates the start and the end of economic downturns, and the group that says this current recession started in December 2007.
Q. What, if any, early signs should we be watching for to indicate that the worst has passed and the economy is rebounding?
A. I would look at the housing market. The financial crisis began with weakness in the housing market and a corresponding drop in the value of mortgages held by banks and many other financial institutions. The U.S. has been through a period of excessive leverage in which borrowing supported a wide range of investments, ranging from homes to exotic financial securities to consumer durables, and we are now witnessing a "deleveraging" in many markets. Because housing markets are very visible and construction employment is a major, but volatile, component of the aggregate employment, falling levels of housing inventory and stabilizing house prices may be "canaries in the coal mine" for stronger economic times.
For an interesting take on what that phrase - "canaries in the coal mine" - means -- Check out wiseGEEK or Wikipedia.